Obama’s Budget

Wall Street Journal

2/10/12

Obama Budget: Infrastructure and Incentives for Manufacturing

President Barack Obama‘s budget request to Congress Monday will include billions of dollars to boost infrastructure spending and incentives for manufacturers, who are key to lifting the economy and the president’s re-election efforts.

The budget includes more than $350 billion in short-term measures for job growth, and a six-year, $476 billion proposal for roads and other surface transportation projects, according to draft documents viewed by Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal.

His budget will also call for tax incentives for companies that create jobs in the U.S. and doubling the deduction for advanced manufacturing. The budget also proposes a “Manufacturing Communities Tax Credit” to encourage investment in communities affected by job loss.

The president has laid out his blueprint for the economy and says an economy that’s built to last is “an economy built on American manufacturing, American energy, skills for American workers, and a renewal of American values.” His focus on manufacturers is expected to offer a contrast to Republican presidential front-runner Mitt Romney, who made his fortune running a private-equity firm.

Mr. Obama’s request will also repeat a call for $1.5 trillion in new revenue, mostly from ending Bush-era tax cuts for families earning more than $250,000 a year. He’ll also ask for $30 billion to modernize schools, $30 billion to help states and localities retain teachers and first responders, and a tax credit for small businesses that add jobs and increase wages.

The draft documents don’t include all the details of the president’s budget, but show major similarities to the budget plan the White House laid out in September 2011. The budget doesn’t appear to offer any new options for reducing the deficit beyond what the White House has already recommended.

The budget proposal, which needs congressional approval, will forecast a fiscal year 2012 deficit of $1.33 trillion and a $901 billion deficit for fiscal 2013, which would be equivalent to 5.5% of the nation’s Gross Domestic Product.  Fiscal 2013 begins Oct. 1, 2012.

The White House earlier this week said many of the projections in the budget request would be old by the time they were released Monday because the administration did its analysis in November.

“The administration forecast is used to develop the budget, and at that time we predicted the unemployment rate would average 8.9% in 2012 and 8.6% in 2013. These forecasts were close to the consensus of private forecasters at the time,” White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Alan Krueger said in a statement earlier in the week.

Republican Candidates in DC

GOP candidates tout conservative credentials at DC summit

Published February 10, 2012 | FoxNews.com

The Republican presidential candidates appealed Friday for the hearts and votes of conservatives at the movement’s premier conference in Washington, with each trying to gain the edge as the race endures yet another shakeup.

Mitt Romney staunchly defended his GOP credentials, describing his term as Massachusetts governor as “severely conservative.”

Rick Santorum took several swipes at Romney without referring to him by name. He urged the party not to pursue a “hollow victory” in November by compromising on their choice for GOP nominee.

Newt Gingrich, who spoke last at the Conservative Political Action Conference, cast his candidacy as a threat to the Washington establishment. But he said the party and the country need his “bold solutions,” as he offered a hyper-specific forecast of what he would accomplish in the early hours and days of a Gingrich presidency.

The impassioned arguments came as the dynamic in the Republican race begins to turn.

Santorum, after winning three state contests Tuesday, is rising in national polls and catching up to Romney. Next up are the Maine caucuses on Saturday, followed by the Michigan and Arizona primaries later in the month.

Santorum is trying to build on his momentum — a chance he missed after winning the Iowa caucuses in part because Romney was prematurely declared the victor. Gingrich is trying to maintain his claimed status as the conservative alternative to Romney. And Romney is trying retain his frontrunner status, and keep the competition at bay.

Ron Paul, who has not yet won a primary or caucus but has a loyal following, did not attend CPAC.

Addressing the conference last, Gingrich ascribed the attacks against his campaign to establishment fear.

“This campaign is a mortal threat to their grip on the establishment,” he said of insiders, “because we intend to change Washington, not accommodate it. ”

Gingrich said America needs “bold solutions” and not “timidity.”

He devoted a chunk of his speech to describing his envisioned first day as president. It would involve abolishing all White House “czars,” repealing the health care overhaul, and approving the Canada-to-Texas oil pipeline, among other changes. Gingrich claimed he could repudiate “at least 40 percent” of Obama’s government on the opening day.

Romney devoted a significant portion of his speech Friday to explaining the roots and record of his conservatism — on fiscal and social issues.

“I know conservatism because I have lived conservatism,” Romney said.

He claimed he was a “severely conservative Republican governor” in Massachusetts and that if elected would lead a “pro-life presidency.”

In Massachusetts, Romney said he fought to make sure gay couples from out of state could not get married in Massachusetts, though the state was still moving to allow gay marriage for in-state couples. “On my watch, we fought hard and prevented Massachusetts from becoming the Las Vegas of gay marriage,” Romney said.

While defending his credentials, he also tried to distinguish himself from the remaining GOP contenders, all of whom served or are serving in Congress. As he has before, Romney said he’s the only one “who has never worked a day in Washington.”

Santorum earlier in the day argued that voters should want somebody with Washington experience to be the nominee.

Santorum, who bills himself as the race’s pure conservative, used his speech to play down concerns that the GOP needs to attract moderates in November. He said the party should not “apologize” for its principles, and needs a candidate the base can get excited about. He said Republicans need somebody who can “draw contrasts” with President Obama.

“We need conservatives now to rally for a conservative — to go into November to excite the conservative base,” Santorum said.

He pitched what he described as an economic plan for “blue collar” Americans, vowed to balance the budget and went on to rail against alleged overreach by the Obama administration.

As several speakers did the day before, Santorum singled out the administration’s proposal to require contraceptive coverage at religious organizations.

“It’s about economic liberty. It’s about freedom of speech,” Santorum said. The administration announced a change to the policy on Friday in the face of the backlash, shifting the coverage burden to insurance companies.

A new Fox News poll on Friday showed Santorum creeping up on Romney following his wins in Colorado, Minnesota and Missouri.

In interviews conducted on Wednesday and Thursday nights — after his wins — Santorum’s support nearly doubled, which put him tied at the top with Romney for those two days at 30 percent. Looking at the results from all four nights of this week’s interviewing, Romney retained his front-runner spot with 33 percent, followed by Santorum at 23 percent, Gingrich at 22 percent and Paul at 15 percent.

Small Business Gets A Hand

SBA’s Final Rule Increases Size Standards, Expands Eligibility for Small Business Programs

Published Friday, Feb. 10, 2012

Sacramento Bee

WASHINGTON, Feb. 10, 2012 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ The U.S. Small Business Administration today published a final rule in The Federal Register that will increase some of the size definitions of small businesses in Professional, Scientific and Technical Services and Other Services sectors.(Logo: http://photos.prnewswire.com/prnh/20110909/DC65875LOGO )

The final rule will increase 37 of the revenue-based size standards in 34 industries and three sub-industries in the “Professional, Scientific and Technical Services” sector.  It will also increase one size standard in the “Other Services” sector.

As part of an ongoing review of all size standards, the SBA evaluated all of the revenue-based size standards in these sectors to determine whether to revise the existing size standards.  SBA took into account the structural characteristics within individual industries, including average firm size, the degree of competition, and federal government contracting trends to ensure that size definitions reflect current economic conditions within those industries.  Under provisions in the Small Business Jobs Act of 2010, SBA will continue its comprehensive review of all size standards for the next several years.

After receiving numerous public comments to the proposed rule published in The Federal Register on March 16, 2011, the SBA determined that increasing the size standards in these industries:

  • will enable more small businesses to retain their small business status; and
  • will give federal agencies a larger selection of small businesses to choose from for small business procurement opportunities.

SBA estimates as many as 8,350 additional firms will become eligible for SBA programs as a result of these revisions.

An SBA-issued White Paper entitled, “Size Standards Methodology”, which explains how the SBA establishes, reviews and modifies its receipts-based and employee-based small business size standards can be viewed at http://www.sba.gov/size.

Occupy Oakland vs Stand For Oakland

Occupy Oakland Clashes With Stand For Oakland, Police

-Huffington Post

On Monday, about 200 Occupy Oakland protesters clashed with counter protesters and police on the steps of Oakland City Hall.

Occupy Oakland gathered for a day of action to protest the arrests at the January 28 protest, the most charged Occupy Oakland police clash since November. But across the plaza, a group of about 50 counter protesters formed opposing the occupiers, wearing armbands and signs reading, “I stand with Oakland.” The group called itself Stand For Oakland.

“The violent faction of the Occupy movement say they speak for Oakland,” said Oakland City Council member Desley Brooks to San Jose Mercury News. “And your regular Oaklanders are here today to say they speak for themselves.”

In recent months, tension between the city of Oakland and the occupiers, as well as tensions within the Occupy movement itself, have led to heated debates over the nature of the movement and the limits of protest. But Monday was the first appearance of a growing counter-movement, opposing the allegedly destructive faction of Occupy Oakland.

On January 28, about 400 people — including journalists — were arrested at a mass protest, at which police used tear gas and flash grenades. The protest was also marked by a heavy anarchist presence that included graffiti across the city and a flag burning inside City Hall, deeply frustrating some city residents. And on Monday, some of those residents confronted Occupy Oakland.

“I think this will make them see that the citizens are concerned and that the citizens are tired of the actions that they are taking,” said Oakland Neighborhood Crime Prevention Council member Angela Haller to Mercury News who joined Stand For Oakland.

Monday’s protest grew tense when police officers confiscated a loudspeaker from Occupy protesters, and occupiers took to the streets in a march.

What’s New? Entrepreneurship.

Washington Post:

Entrepreneurship spikes around the world, but U.S. isn’t the most innovative, study finds

By Olga Khazan, Published: January 19 | Updated: Friday, January 20, 5:00 AM

More and more people around the world are becoming entrepreneurs, according to a Global Entrepreneurship Monitor 2011 report released Thursday. The world’s so-called “innovation-driven” economies saw an increase of 22 percent in early-stage entrepreneurship in 2011 over the year before, as measured by the number of people operating a business that’s less than 3.5 years old.

“One of the most surprising things is that the entrepreneurship rates were up in most of the economies we measured,” said Babson College entrepreneurship professor Donna Kelley.

For the study, GEM randomly sampled at least 2,000 adults in each of 54 economies. “Chile and China are have recently become more entrepreneurial countries, and when you look at the wealthier economies like the U.S. and Western Europe, you’re seeing a huge increase in entrepreneurship.”

In the United States, entrepreneurial activity increased a whopping 60 percent last year from 2010. However, this followed a dip in entrepreneurship in the past few years, so the increase brings us back to 2005 levels. About 12.3 percent of Americans are considered entrepreneurs by the GEM measure.

The boost in U.S. entrepreneurship is somewhat of a mixed indicator, signaling that while the economy is improving, some people are turning to entrepreneurship because it’s becoming evident that some jobs may never come back.

“People in the past two years may have delayed starting a business because conditions weren’t good,” Kelley said. “But employers are investing in capital equipment more than labor, and perhaps people are starting their own businesses as a result.”

The GEM team also took note of the countries with the most innovative entrepreneurs, meaning their product is new to the customers in that country and they face little or no competition. The percentage of American entrepreneurs with innovative products is approximately 30 percent by the GEM meaure, landing the United States somewhere in the middle of the wealthier economies. Denmark took the lead. “

But that doesn’t necessarily mean Americans aren’t innovative overall. Kelley points out that countries like Denmark also have far fewer entrepreneurs than does the United States, so entrepreneurship there is likely to be more selective there.

Despite the high percentage of entrepreneurs in the United States, however, fewer than half of them said they expect to create five or more jobs within five years. Middle-income countries tended to both have more entrepreneurs and more start-ups expecting to create five or more jobs.

Can a Small Business Survive in the Cloud?

Washington Post:

Even with risks, the cloud offers advantages for small businesses

By Erik Larson, Published: January 27

Just about every small business owner, and anyone else for that matter, has been hearing a lot about “the cloud” lately.

Internet behemoths like Google, Apple and Amazon are fighting it out for cloud superiority, as are other giant tech companies like Oracle and Microsoft. While the concept of delivering applications over the Internet is simple, it is revolutionizing the way hardware and software are sold.

Take computer backup, for example.  The old way of backing up computers was to purchase an external hard drive and a software program, install the software, physically connect your computer to the hardware, then run the software program.  If you had a laptop, you needed to make sure you continued to connect your computer to the external drive. And if you were traveling, the only way to keep your backup current was to haul the drive along with you.

With cloud backup, you don’t purchase any hardware or software.  Instead, you subscribe to a backup service over the Internet, download a lightweight app, and your computer data is securely backed up over the Internet to a server which is safely and securely housed at the backup provider’s data center.  The backup runs in the background and the only thing you need to connect to your computer is the Internet, which we’re pretty sure you’re doing already.

Backup is just one service moving to the cloud.  Everything from accounting software to fax service to phone service is now available over the Internet. All of these new cloud services have a few common advantages over their traditional counterparts of which small business owners should take note:

Simple set up: With cloud services, there’s usually no hardware to buy and install and if any software is needed (often it’s not), it’s just a quick and easy download.

Lower cost: With no hardware to buy and maintain, it only makes sense that cloud services cost less than doing it the old-fashioned way.  And technologies like online meeting services can allow you to deliver presentations remotely, saving a bundle on travel costs.

Ease of access: Since cloud services are delivered over the Internet, they’re also available anywhere you have an Internet connection.  Waiting for a crucial fax but out of the office? No problem — the fax can be forwarded to your e-mail as an attachment.

While the advantages of moving to the cloud are many, there are some downsides.  You’re at the mercy of the vendor to keep the service up and running.  And while your internal network and your own computer are also vulnerable to hackers, so are cloud services, although they’re probably better at protecting data than you are.

Still, for most small business owners, the savings in time and cost that cloud services offer will be worth it.  If you’re thinking about buying a new piece of software, hardware or a telecom service like phone or fax, do a search to see if there is a “cloud” or Internet version that might do the trick.

Erik Larson is founder and president of NextAdvisor.com, a San Francisco-based consumer and small business information Web site that provides reviews and comparisons of cloud services.


Obama’s State of the Union Address

January 24, 2012

In Address, Obama Makes Pitch for Economic Fairness

By HELENE COOPER

WASHINGTON — President Obama pledged on Tuesday night to use government power to balance the scale between America’s rich and the rest of the public, trying to present an election-year choice between continued leadership toward an economy “built to last” and what he called irresponsible policies of the past that caused an economic collapse.

Declaring that “we’ve come too far to turn back now,” the president used his final State of the Union address before he faces the voters to showcase the extent to which he will try to contrast his core economic principles with those of his Republican rivals in a time of deep economic uncertainty. While many Americans remain disappointed with the state of the economy and the president’s handling of it, Mr. Obama nonetheless tried to bring into relief the difference between where the country was when he took over and where it is now.

“The state of our union is getting stronger,” he declared in time-honored tradition. “In the last 22 months, businesses have created more than three million jobs.” He pointed to renewed hiring by American manufacturers and — borrowing the “built to last” phrase from the auto industry he helped save — he sketched out, albeit vaguely, what he called a blueprint for economic growth in which the wealthy play by the same rules as ordinary Americans.

Republicans challenged Mr. Obama’s assessment of the economy, and asserted that his policies had made the situation worse. But with their own poll numbers diving, Congressional Republicans were subdued in their response to the speech, careful not to boo or seem disrespectful. And the president disputed their claim that he was practicing the politics of division.

“You can call this class warfare all you want,” Mr. Obama said of his call to create a more even economic playing field. “Most Americans would call that common sense.” He characterized the choice as one between whether “a shrinking number of people do really well while a growing number of Americans barely get by” or his own vision — “where everyone gets a fair shot.”

In returning to his 2008 campaign motif of these being “not Democratic values or Republican values, but American values,” Mr. Obama presented a somewhat modest list of initiatives he could enact through executive authority coupled with more ambitious proposals unlikely to advance in Congress. It was an address meant to show a president still interested in governing and a leader putting the interests of the American middle class at the top of his agenda.

Many of his proposals centered on changes to the tax code, including limiting deductions for companies that move jobs overseas, rewarding companies that return jobs to the United States and increasing taxes on wealthy Americans.

Taking aim at financial institutions that engaged in risky lending practices that many believe tipped the country into financial crisis, Mr. Obama said he was asking Attorney General Eric H. Holder Jr. to create a special unit of federal prosecutors and state attorneys general to expand investigations into abusive lending. The new unit, he said, “will hold accountable those who broke the law, speed assistance to homeowners and help turn the page on an era of recklessness that hurt so many Americans.”

Mr. Obama also proposed a new trade enforcement unit that would add to the number of government investigators pursuing unfair trade practices and that would be responsible for filing lawsuits against foreign countries, namely China. He called for new legislation to make it easier for Americans to refinance their homes if their interest rates are above market rates. And he proposed a bound-to-be-contentious way to allocate any savings from ending the war in Iraq and winding down the war in Afghanistan: by using half of the war savings on infrastructure projects and the other half to reduce the deficit.

“We will not go back to an economy weakened by outsourcing, bad debt and phony financial profits,” Mr. Obama said. Though his advisers have vowed a campaign against Congress, he expressed a willingness to “work with anyone in this chamber” and said he would “oppose any effort to return to the very same policies that brought on this economic crisis in the first place.”

In an emotional moment, Representative Gabrielle Giffords, an Arizona Democrat who was wounded in the Tucson shooting last year, returned for the speech before her imminent resignation from the House to concentrate on her recovery. Although the president is often criticized for his aloofness, he embraced Ms. Giffords for a long 10 seconds, rocking and almost seeming to be dancing with her.

Mr. Obama again proposed changes to the tax code so the wealthy pay more, a position he has indicated he will continue to press in this election year against Republican opposition. He called for Congress to put into place his “Buffett Rule” — named after the Berkshire Hathaway chairman Warren E. Buffett — whereby people making more than $1 million a year would pay a minimum effective tax rate of at least 30 percent in income taxes.

To illustrate his point, he provocatively used Mr. Buffett’s secretary, Debbie Bosanek, as one of his props, seating Ms. Bosanek — whose effective tax rate is higher than Mr. Buffett’s, he has said — in the chamber with the first lady, Michelle Obama.

Mr. Obama’s income tax proposal on Tuesday night was particularly charged, coming as it did less than 24 hours after Mitt Romney, a Republican presidential candidate, released tax returns showing that he and his wife, Ann, had an effective federal income tax rate in 2010 of 13.9 percent and an income ranking among the top one-10th of 1 percent of all taxpayers in 2010.

Mr. Obama would like the new tax to replace the alternative minimum tax, which was created decades ago to make sure that the richest taxpayers with plentiful deductions and credits did not avoid income taxes, but which now affects millions of Americans who are considered upper middle class.

An upbeat Mr. Obama delivered his remarks standing in the chamber of the House of Representatives, an arena ruled by his political adversaries, given the Republican majority that the president and fellow Democrats have criticized as blocking much of the White House agenda.

But in the official Republican response to the address, Gov. Mitch Daniels of Indiana said it had been Congressional Republicans who had acted to improve the economy, only to be thwarted by the president.

“The president did not cause the economic and fiscal crisis that continue in America tonight,” Mr. Daniels said. “But he was elected on a promise to fix them, and he cannot claim that the last three years have made things anything but worse.”

While he was addressing Congress and assembled dignitaries, Mr. Obama was trying to reach the far greater national television audience of American voters, and his speech, while deep in policy initiatives, served in many ways as a prime-time kickoff of his re-election campaign.

In fact, most of the first lady’s guests on Tuesday night came from states that figure heavily in Mr. Obama’s re-election plans. Included were North Carolina, from where Mr. Obama selected both a worker and an employer, to demonstrate the benefits of public-private partnerships, and Florida, from where he chose a homeowner who was able to keep her house thanks to Mr. Obama’s housing refinance program.

Mr. Obama said a major part of his agenda would be the expansion of domestic energy supplies, both from traditional fuels like oil and natural gas and from cleaner sources like wind and the sun. He singled out the rapid growth of domestic natural gas production through the technique known as hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, which the government says has unlocked a 100-year supply that now makes the United States the Saudi Arabia of natural gas.

Reflecting the heavy emphasis on the economy in an election year, the president’s speech was relatively short on national security, where most political observers and indeed his own aides believe his performance has been much stronger than on the economy. In fact, Mr. Obama ended his speech with the American assault last year that finally, after 10 years, killed Osama bin Laden, and talked of that fateful day last May when he monitored the attack from the White House.

He called on the country to emulate the unity of the Navy Seal team that conducted the raid. “When you’re marching into battle, you look out for the person next to you,” the president said, “or the mission fails.”

John M. Broder contributed reporting.

Mitt v Newt in Florida Debate

Jan 26, 2012 11:24pm

Analysis: Mitt Romney Wins Florida Debate, Newt Gingrich Looks Rattled And Uneven

ABC News’ Amy Walter and Michael Falcone report:

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. — On Thursday night Mitt Romney finally looked like a candidate who wants to win this election. On the debate stage Romney was confident and focused. More important, he was aggressive and disciplined, and never allowed his chief rival, Newt Gingrich, to get the upper hand.

The difference between the Romney who showed up tonight vs. the one who was on stage in South Carolina last week was night and day.

Several of Romney’s answers were as knife-sharp as we’ve seen at any debate during the primary season, particularly his laundry list of projects, including the lunar colony that Gingrich has proposed in the first few early nominating states.

“In South Carolina, it was a new interstate highway, and dredging the port in Charleston. In New Hampshire, it was burying a power line coming in from Canada and building a new VHA hospital in New Hampshire so that people don’t have to go to Boston,” Romney said. “This idea of going state to state and promising what people want to hear, promising billions, hundreds of billions of dollars to make people happy, that’s what got us into the trouble we’re in now.”

“A big idea,” Romney concluded, is not always “a good idea.”

That’s not to say that Romney’s performance at the debate hosted by CNN, the Florida Republican Party and the Hispanic Leadership Network wasn’t without fault. When asked to own up to an ad his campaign is running on the radio that said Gingrich once called Spanish the “language of the ghetto,” Romney said it wasn’t his ad. Only problem: it is. The CNN moderator Wolf Blitzer corrected him publicly a few minutes later.

Romney also repeatedly referred to his “trustee” when asked about his investments, particularly those based offshore.

“I have a trustee that manages my investments in a blind trust. That was so that I would avoid any conflicts of interest,” Romney said.”That trustee indicated last week, when he was asked about this, he said that he wanted to diversify the investments that I had.”

But, it was Newt who fell flat tonight.

With the latest polls suggesting that Gingrich’s momentum in Florida ebbing, Newt needed a strong performance at the final debate before voters cast their ballots next Tuesday. He didn’t have one.

Gingrich’s Achilles heel is his lack of discipline and follow-through. The fired up and aggressive Newt we saw on the campaign trail this week was not on the stage tonight. In his place was a passive and hesitant candidate. Even his attempt at turning the audience against the moderator didn’t work.

“This is a nonsense question,” Gingrich told Blitzer when the moderator asked whether Romney had been transparent enough in releasing his tax returns. “‘He lives in a world of Swiss bank and Cayman Island bank accounts,’ I didn’t say that.  You did,” Blitzer said confronting him with his own words. Again, Gingrich wouldn’t bite, and it fell to Romney to attack.

“Wouldn’t it be nice if people didn’t make accusations somewhere else that they weren’t willing to defend here?” the former Massachusetts governor said referring to his rival.

Rick Santorum was the only candidate to challenge Romney, going after him aggressively on his Massachusetts health care plan.

“What has happened in Massachusetts is that people are now paying the fine because health insurance is so expensive. And you have a pre-existing condition clause in yours, just like Barack Obama,” Santorum said. “So what is happening in Massachusetts, the people that Governor Romney said he wanted to go after, the people that were free-riding, free ridership has gone up five-fold in Massachusetts. Five times the rate it was before.”

Even so, any gain Santorum makes in the polls is likely to come at Gingrich’s expense.

To win Florida, Gingrich needs to build on the momentum he got from his South Carolina win. His debate performance was a momentum killer.

South Carolina Proves Newt Still Has Some Fight

Washington Post:

Newt Gingrich wins South Carolina primary

By Karen Tumulty, Published: January 21

CHARLESTON, S.C. — Former House speaker Newt Gingrich scored an easy victory Saturday in the South Carolina primary, blowing a hole in Mitt Romney’s aura of inevitability.

The 12-point win represented a swift and extraordinary turnaround in Gingrich’s fortunes — thanks largely to strong performances in two debates. In those forums, he issued a stirring appeal to the state’s strident conservatism, convinced its voters he would be a formidable opponent against President Obama and threw Romney off his stride.

South Carolina primary

Candidate Votes % Won
Newt Gingrich 243,398 40.4%
Mitt Romney 167,957 27.9%
Other 191,078 31.7%

100.0% of precincts reporting  |  SOURCE: AP

“We don’t have the kind of money that at least one of the candidates has,” Gingrich said in his victory speech in Columbia, referring to Romney. “But we do have ideas, and we do have people and we proved here in South Carolina that people power with the right ideas beats big money.”

He also peppered his speech with dismissive references to “elites” in the media and in Washington and New York — a sign that he intends to continue the truculently populist tone that resonated with voters in South Carolina.

After disappointing distant finishes in the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, Gingrich had limped into South Carolina more than 10 points down in most polls. So battered was his candidacy that Gingrich himself had conceded that his campaign might be over if he failed to turn in a strong performance.

His victory not only changes the near-term dynamic of this presidential campaign but also defies political history. South Carolina is known as a firewall for the GOP establishment in presidential contests, traditionally extinguishing the hopes of insurgent candidates such as Gingrich.

This year also marks the first time that a different Republican candidate has won each of the first trio of contests — still further evidence of how unsettled and dissatisfied the party’s voters are in a year when they are anxious to unseat a vulnerable incumbent president.

Since 1980, every South Carolina GOP primary winner has gone on to win the party’s nomination. But how far this victory will carry Gingrich remains very much in question. Although Romney has yet to win over the Republican activist base, he has by far the most formidable financial resources and organization. Those give him a substantial edge as the contest moves next to the vast state of Florida, which holds its primary Jan. 31.

And in his concession speech, Romney — who has until now trained most of his fire on Obama — signaled that he will be taking a harder line against Gingrich as the contest goes forward.

“The choice within our party has also come into stark focus. President Obama has no experience running a business and no experience running a state. Our party can’t be led to victory by someone who also has never run a business and never run a state,” Romney said. “Our president has divided the nation, engaged in class warfare and attacked the free-enterprise system that has made America the economic envy of the world. We cannot defeat that president with a candidate who has joined in that very assault on free enterprise.”

Romney was incorrect in his assertion that Gingrich has never run a business. After leaving Congress in 1999, Gingrich built a successful conglomerate of them, largely drawing upon his own talents as a speaker, consultant and writer.

That “assault on free enterprise” to which Romney referred was Gingrich’s continuing criticism of Romney’s record as a corporate turnaround specialist, which Gingrich has described as “exploitive” because it often involved adding debt to the companies he acquired and laying off workers.

Even some of Gingrich’s allies have been uncomfortable with that line of attack, saying it echoes the anti-business rhetoric of the Occupy Wall Street movement and may be turned by Democrats into ammunition against Romney, who remains the favorite for the nomination.

Gingrich’s team acknowledges that he suffered some self-inflicted damage by taking that hard line against Romney in New Hampshire.

In addition to regaining his footing, strategists say the former speaker confronted two major challenges in South Carolina: He had to convince voters here that he could take on Obama in the fall, and he had to stir doubts about Romney’s electability, character and conservatism.

How well he succeeded at both of those goals was apparent in the exit polls. Unlike in Iowa and New Hampshire, Gingrich came out ahead of Romney among those voters who said that an ability to win in November was the quality they were looking for most in a candidate.

As Gingrich took the stage Saturday night to give his victory speech, his supporters chanted: “Newt can win!”

In another sign of how he had changed the dynamic, Gingrich outpolled Romney 4 to 3 among voters who rated the economy as their greatest concern — even though economic expertise has been one of Romney’s chief selling points.

It was not the first resurrection that Gingrich has experienced during the course of the campaign. His operation collapsed last summer, when much of his staff quit over disagreements about his unconventional strategy. And then when he rebounded in the late fall, an outside political organization backing Romney unleashed millions of dollars worth of ads against Gingrich in Iowa that helped deflate his candidacy there.

Things began to turn his way again in the first of two debates last week. When Fox News Channel moderator Juan Williams asked whether Gingrich’s characterization of Obama as a “food stamp president” carried racial overtones, the former speaker brought the Myrtle Beach audience to its feet with a denunciation of political correctness and a passionate defense of the work ethic.

“The debate Monday night may have been a game changer,” Gingrich said in an interview with The Washington Post two days later.

However, the week leading up to the primary had more than its share of unexpected twists.

Gingrich received a boost when one of his rivals, Texas Gov. Rick Perry, abruptly dropped out of the race and endorsed him. Gingrich also picked up the backing of tea party heroine Sarah Palin, the former governor of Alaska.

Romney was also dealt a setback, at least in bragging rights, when the Iowa Republican Party reversed its earlier determination and declared that former senator Rick Santorum (Pa.) had won the Jan. 3 caucuses. That switch may ultimately prove to be a blessing for Romney because it gives Santorum, who placed a distant third in South Carolina, a rationale to remain in a race in which he is fighting with Gingrich over conservative voters.

However, Gingrich also found himself on the defensive, when his second wife, Marianne, accused him in interviews with ABC News and The Post of wanting an “open marriage” in which he could divide his affections between her and the mistress who became his third wife.

When asked about those allegations during Thursday night’s debate, Gingrich turned the tables on moderator John King of CNN.

Exit polls suggest the jujitsu was successful. Gingrich fared well among both evangelical voters and women — two groups whose support might have been shaken by his ex-wife’s interview.

Meanwhile, Romney stumbled in the debates, particularly in his convoluted explanations of why he has not yet released his tax returns, which served as a reminder of his wealth.

Overall, the debates proved to be a decisive factor in South Carolina.

In preliminary exit polls, more than half of voters say they decided in the closing days of the campaign, and Gingrich held a roughly 20-point lead in this group. Romney matched Gingrich among those who decided earlier.

Gingrich’s strongest support came from those who said the debates had been the “most important factor” in making their choice.

“It’s not that I am a great debater, it is that I articulate the deepest-felt values of the American people,” Gingrich said in his victory speech.

Two more debates are scheduled for this week in Florida, one Monday and another Thursday.

Though Romney’s participation in those debates had been in question, his campaign confirmed Saturday that he will appear at both — which was welcome news to Gingrich’s team.

Another factor contributing to Gingrich’s success was the outside spending by a “super PAC” supporting his candidacy. Shortly before the South Carolina contest, it received a $5 million contribution from Las Vegas casino magnate Sheldon Adelson.

Going into Florida, “we will raise a boatload of money, and then we will do what we did in South Carolina,” said Rick Tyler, a former Gingrich aide who runs the Winning Our Future super PAC.

Polling director Jon Cohen contributed to this report.

Small Businesses’ Huge Community Impact

Queens Gazette

Salute And Shop At Small Businesses

2012-01-04 / Editorials

Our editorial for the Nov. 30, 2011 issue of the Gazette cited American Express’ second annual Small Business Saturday, an effort to encourage shoppers in search of holiday bargains to patronize local stores as well as or instead of joining the hordes thronging big-box retailers. We do not have statistics to demonstrate how many shoppers heeded the call, but we think we can safely postulate that more than one locally owned and operated mom-and-pop enterprise saw an increase in trade in the closing months of last year.

We hope Small Business Saturday did more than increase holiday patronage of local enterprises. Too often, the role local businesses play in the life of the communities they serve can tend to be overlooked. Owners and proprietors of small businesses are the moving forces behind Business Improvement Districts, merchant and business associations and local chambers of commerce. Through these organizations they foster clean streets, holiday lights, tree lightings, Fourth of July festivities and sidewalk sale days. Yes, these activities earn recognition for the enterprises that sponsor them, but they add to a community’s sense of self and civic pride as well.

Many of the families that patronize local small businesses find them valuable adjuncts to their children’s formal education. Kindergartners take the dollar bill an aunt or uncle tucked in a birthday card to the corner store and learn the first of a lifetime’s worth of lessons about getting the most for their money at the candy counter. A few years later, these same children, now adolescents, obtain their first jobs working part-time after school and on weekends at the local delicatessen, fruit-and-vegetable stand or corner drug store. They learn the value of their labor, take pride in their accomplishments and forge a powerful and long lasting connection to the neighborhood they live in. A teen who spends a Saturday morning sweeping the sidewalk in front of the florist shop where he has a weekend job is unlikely to look kindly upon anyone, even any of his contemporaries, who drops a gum wrapper on the pavement. Small businesses give back to their communities by building a trained, educated, and, most important, motivated work force.

That small businesses survive and even thrive in New York City is a testament to the determination and resiliency of the spirit of their proprietors and owners. This city is not an immediately commercial-friendly environment. Small business owners many times must make their way through a convoluted tangle of permits, licensing requirements and bureaucratic mazes to be able to open their doors and keep operating. That many do so in spite of the obstacles is testament to the power of the human spirit and to the esprit de corps such enterprises generate. The civic and business organizations to which the operators of such businesses belong are, as we stated, the backbone of community good and welfare, due in very large part to the drive and determination of the small business owners who make up their ranks.

We salute the owners and operators of the small businesses of all sorts that line the streets of our neighborhoods and make our communities the thriving, viable areas that they are. We call on our readers, most of whom are our neighbors and friends, to continue to patronize these businesses as much as possible. The value of an item sold at a corner store for a few pennies more than at a big-box retailer many times proves to be far greater than its price in dollars and cents alone. Good relationships between business owners and their customers and the additional safety and security provided to a streetscape simply because a business is open and operating add to the worth of an open, thriving business to the neighborhood it serves immeasurably and in more ways than only by dint of the bottom line. During the year which has just begun and for long after, we urge our readers to make use of the goods and services offered by their neighborhood small business owners as much as is humanly possible. By aiding our neighbors in their commercial and business enterprises we add to our property values and the quality of life in our communities as well.

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